Tommy John Surgery has pushed back Max Meyer’s debut to probably 2024. What can we expect when he does return?
- Born: March 12, 1999
- B/T: Left/Right
- 6’0″, 196-lbs
- Drafted by the Miami Marlins in the 2020 MLB June Amateur Draft from University of Minnesota.
His raw numbers are listed above courtesy of baseball-reference.com. Let’s aggregate by year then focus on the important numbers for minor leaguers:
The Marlins drafted Meyer out of the University of Minnesota, and the next year started him in full season Double-A where he spent most of the year. Did quite well in his first pro exposure. He also pitched 10 innings at Triple-A that season and dominated with an 8.5-to-1 K-to-BB ratio.
He repeated Triple-A in 2022 and had another dominating season. In fact, he basically replicated his Double-A numbers, but he now did it at the highest major league level.
He also made his major league debut for six innings where he struck out six and walked only two.
A dominating April and a dominating June sandwiching a struggling May. Isn’t baseball great in its unpredictable nature?
July, between Triple-A and MLB, was quietly effective. He belongs in the majors.
Handedness K% and BB%
AAA (vs RH): 26%K and 8%BB. (vs LH): 30%K and 9%BB.
No splits here. He does well against both, and as long as he keeps the walks down he’s quite successful.
- Rotowire: #119 on their Top 400
- Fantrax: #77 on their Top 400
- RotoProspects: #187 on Top 500
Well, other than the Tommy John Surgery, how did you like the play, Mrs. Lincoln? I mean, obviously that’s the big warning flag. Pitchers come back from TJS routinely, but it’s still a risk until it isn’t.
There are times when his command doesn’t help his game.
In college he had a dominating fastball, but in the pros it’s been more inconsistent. His slider is his best pitch, and now his changeup has improved to the point where it is a plus pitch. If he returns from TJS with his fastball back in plus territory, Meyer could be an ace.
Even without that, he will be a very good major league pitcher.
Once he is back.