When I was on the PitcherList On The Farm podcast (OTF 38) in September, 2022, I was asked who could be the #1 prospect in 2023. I said it would probably be a guy named Jordan. Meet the second of them, Jordan Lawlar.
- Born: July 17, 2002
- B/T: Right/Right
- 6’2″, 190-lbs
- Drafted by the Arizona Diamondbacks in the 2021 MLB June Amateur Draft out of Jesuit College Preparatory School of Dallas.
The Numbers
His raw numbers are listed above courtesy of baseball-reference.com. Let’s aggregate by year then focus on the important numbers for minor leaguers:
After an injury curtailed his 2021 enough to ignore it, he made up for lost time by rising through four levels in a season — all as a teenager.
He smoked Rookie pitchers, then dominated in both power and speed at A-ball. Then he went to High-A and continued producing nicely. He only slowed down in Double-A at the end of his first full professional season. Even then he drew 10% walks, so the guy get walks in his sleep.
Monthly Splits
Not much point in doing monthly splits as his whole season is a bunch of splits as it was.
Handedness K% and BB%
High-A (vs RH): 27%K and 12%BB. (vs LH): 22%K and 13%BB.
AA (vs RH): 29%K and 11%BB. (vs LH): 27%K and 7%BB.
He doesn’t strike out excessively, and he draws walks, and neither type of pitcher dominates him.
The Scouts
- Rotowire: #3 on their Top 400
- Fantrax: #9 on their Top 400
- RotoProspects: #4 on Top 500
Warnings
He didn’t dominate Double-A, so let’s see him do that to start 2023.
Conclusion
In his first full season he put up good numbers until he hit the wall at Double-A. But as shown in this interview, he has a strong desire to get better, and I expect he will smoke Double-A to start 2023, and then quickly go to Triple-A. Maybe a brief appearance in the majors by September.
This is the Diamondbacks SS of the future. The future’s coming soon.
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