Andrew Abbott, LHP, CIN

A funny thing happened on Andrew Abbott’s road through his college career. It’s a good sign for his future.

Video courtesy of FanGraphs
  • Born: June 1, 1999
  • B/T: Left/Left
  • 6’0″, 180-lbs
  • Drafted by the Cincinnati Reds in the 2021 MLB June Amateur Draft from University of Virginia.

The Numbers

His raw numbers are listed above courtesy of baseball-reference.com. Let’s aggregate by year then focus on the important numbers for minor leaguers:

Abbott started his pro career in complex ball where he had no problem with the seven batters he faced. So off to A-ball he went, and he continued to get oodles (a technical scouting term) of strikeouts, but his control need work and his WHIP suffered.

So far in 2022, now in High-A, he on the oodles-plus level of strikeouts, still dealing with control issues, but the hits have been luckier and his WHIP hasn’t had quite the workout it had the year before.

He strikes out 23% of the lefties he faces, and 49% of the righties he faces. But then he has a worse WHIP against righties, and his only HR and five of his six walks have come against him.

So for a guy who strikes out so many batters, why didn’t he have more hype. Here’s why:

In his University of Virginia years, he spent his first three seasons in their pen. A lot of scouts saw him as a guy with a decent fastball but needing to work on his secondary pitches, and might not have the stamina to start. Abbott heard that talk and said:

With 106.2 innings pitched as a starter his Senior season, he matched his previous three seasons combined. The Reds drafted him and have been developing him as a starter since.

The Scouts

Warnings

He hasn’t reached Double-A yet.

He walks too many.

His secondaries (a good curve and a very improved changeup) need to be firmed up to remain a starter.

Conclusion

Abbott knows what he has to work on, and he has the mindset to do that. He needs to tighten up his pitch quality, and he’s at the level to do so. I want to see the walks come down by the time he’s finished with Double-A.

If he does that, he has the ceiling of a #4 SP in the majors.

Are you going to tell him he can’t?

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