Nobody needed a better walk rate than Seth Corry. He finally got it.
- Born: November 3, 1998
- B/T: L/L
- 6’2″, 195-lbs
- Drafted by the San Francisco Giants in the 3rd round of the 2017 MLB June Amateur Draft from Lone Peak HS (Highland, UT)
His raw numbers are listed above courtesy of baseball-reference.com. Let’s aggregate by year then focus on the important numbers for minor leaguers:
The Good: In every metric, Corry has improved from year to year. Every single one.
The Bad: That walk rate is still not good enough for him to remain a starter in the majors. He needs to keep moving that walk rate in the right direction.
The Ugly: When you see a K%-BB% rate of -1%, you make the sign of the cross and walk quickly past that cemetery.
A nice WHIP against both lefties and righties.
A fairly balanced chart, with a bit more toward left.
Here we see graphically what the colored metrics showed before. Corry, right out of high school in 2017, was just awful in Rookie ball.
Then in 2018 he started in awful territory, and inched his way toward mediocre territory. Then he was promoted to Low-A and fell off the cliff again.
In 2019 he started in A ball, and he again inched his way toward the mediocre before something in late July clicking for him, and suddenly he became fantastic.
Yes, now we see his progress more clearly. In the first half of the season, his walk rate was unacceptable. In the second half, it was just fine.
To be a starter in the majors, Corry needs three average or better pitches, and he does have that. His curve is his best weapon, a plus offering. His fastball sits in the low-to-mid 90s, which is fine for a left-hander. A decent changeup too. He induces ground balls.
- Rotowire: #211 on their Top 400.
- BaseballHQ: Not on their Top 100.
- Fangraphs: Not on their Top 120.
- Fantasy Six Pack: #537 on their dynasty list.
- Prospects365: Not on Ray Butler’s Top 200.
- Imaginary Brick Wall: #288 on the Top 487.
- Fantrax: Not on the Top 250.
His walk rate finally become good. Will that hold in AA?
Corry has the skills to be a #3 SP in the majors, but only if he can consistently keep the walk rates under, say, 10%. He’s getting the strikeouts now. He has three pitches.
Last year was a big step forward to Corry. If he consolidates last year’s second-half skill jump, he will be on everyone’s Top 100 lists soon.